W57 – 20 Aug 2024 – UPDATE 2 – Social

I said before in a deleted tweet that power will not be handed over in this social, economic and political situation in Iran, instead the power structure of the regime will collapse altogether. But recent activities of ultra-hardliners (i.e. Jalili, etc) imply that they don’t want to get the power they want chaos which eventually leads to the decomposition of Iran into different weak, unstable countries. That is the best scenario for the far right in the region.

However, there are many issues with this plan. Although the regime is unstable at its core, ordinary people supporting the regime are very much influenced by propaganda. Ultra-hardliners cannot get the support of those regime supporters to sideline Khamenei and ignite social chaos. Ahmadinejad couldn’t do that. Jalili cannot too.

The best they can do is to weaken the Khamenei/Ghalibaf camp.


UPDATE 1:

It seems the far right in the region relies on some opposition figures outside Iran who, some of them unknowingly, help this plan. And also it relies on some ultra-hardliners inside Iran. Those figures outside Iran strongly criticize the regime while ultra hardliners strongly support the regime. But in fact, they are playing the same game.

The opposition must be united to develop infrastructure for democratic processes instead of being pawns in the hardliners’ plan.

(Things I wrote in this update are based on my own conclusions, not any type of information that is not available to the public)


UPDATE 2:

These writings show that I fiercely object to foreign policies that lead to destabilizing other countries. This is not good for any country, and in the future, I will do all I can to stop those approaches.

This is especially relevant because Iran’s 1953 coup occurred exactly 70 years ago. If the democratic processes in Iran hadn’t been disrupted, the Middle East would have been different today. That coup wasn’t aligned with the US and UK’s long-term interests.

My intention of what I wrote here is to make it clear, that the prosperity of other countries is in the best interest of the UK and the US.

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