Ali's Journal

If Putin were wise he would take advantage of cultural similarities between former soviet union countries to form a version of the EU block. He totally destroyed that plan by attacking Ukraine. He proved he was much weaker to invade Ukraine and then expand it to form a new soviet union. The war has also changed Putin’s relationship with China. He is now in a terrible situation. He is out of the equation to realize the idea of the soviet union block. He has no power or legitimacy to form it. This idea is good for Russians and people living in former Soviet Union countries. However, Putin has eliminated himself out of the equation.

UPDATE 1:

The Zangezur corridor was probably mentioned again to push parallelism toward Iran’s regime and unite them against establishing new borderlines. However, what it did was push Putin toward a vulnerable situation.

In a symbolic act, some high-ranked officials in Iran, wearing the servent’s uniform of the shrine in mash’hash, served there. Iran’s regime highly promotes this symbolic act. It will be a very good gesture if Khamanei does that too (if he doesn’t think that’s beneath him).

Sometimes I prefer to write subtly and imply things indirectly, but because some people try to pretend things and attach meanings to what I said I should explain what I wrote yesterday.

My previous writings are completely unambiguous in that I protect the borders of Iran and hugely and actively oppose any attempt to break down Iran into smaller countries. This is not merely what I say or claim, I design the platform to ensure that Iran will never be broken down into smaller countries.

One of the plots to create chaos which might lead to breaking down Iran into smaller countries is to support individuals and small groups to form a government knowing that the majority of people do not support them. Mojahedin and Reza Pahlavi are two examples. Instead, the stable solution is to construct a democratic process so that those viewpoints compete with each other in elections and after 4-5 years power is handed over non-violently and smoothly (if the ruling party loses in a real election).

I saw on Twitter that there was a conference in Olso I think that tried to imply whoever opposes Reza Pahlavi supports the decomposition of Iran. I ignore strategies that are based on pretending things. I will be involved in building real platforms, they can pretend things they want to pretend.

Yesterday I mentioned Reza Pahlavi intentionally. I intentionally quoted him saying he supported a kingdom with no political power whatsoever. Since the deal between Iran’s regime and the West has been revealed, I have compared that to the Torkamanchai deal as a symbol of a disastrous deal (for Khamenei/Ghalibaf). Although in the Torkamanchai deal parts of Iran were separated, here in this deal Iran’s regime power territory was shrunk. This power territory currently expands into all aspects of Iranians’ lives. Parallelism aims to restrict that power territory in Iranians’ lives. Iran’s regime response is to pretend I’m supporting the decomposition of Iran. I don’t know if they helped set up the Oslo conference or not but the intentions are aligned with what Iran’s regime wants.

Those who want to eliminate Khamenei overnight in fact seek chaos. They don’t want a non-violent transition from a type of kingdom into a democratic process, they want complete chaos. The solution I pursue is to gradually shrink Khamenei’s power territory in the lives of Iranians so that a democratic system can be formed.

I usually check the news early in the morning. Today I saw some news and reports that should be explained. They are linked with a debate published some days ago. Taeb had a debate with a prominent former political prisoner which exposed the scope of inhuman procedures in Iran’s judicial system. Then Javid Rahman, who due to his previous job aimed to expose the scope of inhuman procedures in Iran’s judicial system, met with a hugely unpopular group and called its leader president-elect (of the transition phase). Biden also said some hours ago his hope for a peace deal in Gaza is “javid” which can refer to that too (that is the word that was used in the news feed I read).

So it seems Iran’s regime made a similar deal (to the one made earlier) with the West. In exchange for actually exposing the inhuman nature of Iran’s regime, Khamenei was offered that I would collaborate with Mojahedin in the transition phase. And so I should very plainly reject any such idea. Mojahedin will play absolutely no role in the future of Iran. Mojahedin is a small cult, and beyond a small number of members, they have no social support whatsoever in Iran. Some groups that want to destabilize Iran want such a hugely unpopular group to form a government in Iran. Their aim is to destabilize Iran and break it into smaller weak countries.

Iran’s regime doesn’t seem to know what parallelism is all about. Parallelism, by its nature, undermines undemocratic groups, be it Iran’s regime or Mojahedin or kingdom supporters. A while ago they compared me with the founder of Tetris (hoping that I would collaborate with Iran’s regime), a video game developer whose game was sold by the soviet union to Western companies while the game developer himself was totally sidelined. Iran seems to be unaware of the concept of open source. this platform is free and open-source. I won’t own that, no one will own that. And by its nature, it undermines undemocratic processes. Iran’s regime made a huge historical deal on something it doesn’t know what it is at all.

The issue of the Kingdom should also be discussed here. Reza Pahlavi said in an interview that it’s undemocratic to take the kingdom option off the table. In another interview, he said he was willing to have the same role as the king of the UK or some other European countries (which means he would have no political power at all). He himself doesn’t seem to know what he wants. It should be remembered that most Iranians supported Khomeini in the early days of Iran’s revolution. A once-in-a-lifetime referendum on the Constitution doesn’t make it a democratic regime. Democracy requires that those who run the country can be replaced by others in a democratic peaceful process, every 4-5 years if they lose in real elections. And so the requirement for democracy is to take the kingdom option (that is someone at the helm with huge political power that cannot be removed by people’s vote) off the table.

UPDATE 1:

To make things uncountably worse, Taeb actually listened to the way protesters in the 2009 disputed election were tortured. That incident in particular is very important. Protesters only wanted clarity on democratic processes. They opposed Khamenei’s viewpoint on neglecting ambiguous activities (another example was resolving the budget office by Ahmadinejad/Jalili’s camp). The regime then had to admit they made a mistake about Ahmadinejad. So regime supporters carried out all sorts of unimaginable methods to torture those who said things that the regime itself would admit in some years.

Those torturers thought they were protecting the ultimate wisdom. It turned out Khamenei was wrong and those who were tortured were right.

Netanyahu’s policy about Iran’s regime is now in total chaos. On the one hand, he needs Khamenei to stop parallelism. On the other, he wants to empower destructive movements in the region. Small, weak and unstable countries are the best outcome. So they won’t pose a real threat to Israel but at the same time, Israel is surrounded by constant threats so that the far right will always be in power.

Netanyahu and Khamenei are now in collaborative mode. Both of them so badly need an enemy to guarantee their political future. But as mentioned before this policy is chaotic and paradoxical. This policy only reinforces parallelism.

The first step to tackle these ideologies is to remove the cohesion of their policies, and now Netanyahu and Khamenei have fallen into the trap.

When the stability of a regime relies on the wisdom of a leader, and his wisdom turns out to be a joke, insiders will try to protect themselves. That’s because the “bravery” of supporters of the regime to suppress people will vanish as soon as the stability of the regime is visibly shaky. They will have to protect themselves against an angry nation.

So Iran’s regime has no other option. It has to let parallelism challenge its governance so that the transition will be smooth and non-violent.

Meanwhile, it’s best for insiders to keep taking a bow so Khamenei thinks his regime is stable because his wisdom is not doubted.

UPDATE 1:

I say it knowing that I can be arrested at any time. At this stage of the scenario, that will make no difference (if not promoting it).

UPDATE 2:

Israel raided the West Bank and said that it targeted Iran.

It has been said plainly and clearly that Netanyahu’s camp blocks the Palestine solution. It’s obvious that Netanyahu is trying to destroy the plan. On the other hand, now that it has been explained that Khamenei is on the way to the plan as well, it could be foreseen that Netanyahu would reinforce Khamenei to block the plan. This move undermines the legitimacy of Khamenei among Iran’s regime supporters.